Measly-Harbor
0x15fdd6a159788bd7d382f5669a047ad0fcb2cc95
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$184.7K
Total PnL
$-22.0K
Realised
$3.3K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
31068 shares @ 91.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$30.6K
$2.2K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
28375 shares @ 81.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.1K
$4.1K
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
30306 shares @ 79.1¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$23.2K
$-788.19
- NO
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
19769 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$19.4K
$209.33
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
16352 shares @ 95.2¢·now 86.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.1K
$-1.5K
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
14822 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.1K
$-110.94
- NO
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
9101 shares @ 95.2¢·now 97.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.8K
$168.69
- NO
Will Bill Cassidy finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?
7953 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$8.0K
$308.00
- NO
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
7367 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.2K
$544.47
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
7071 shares @ 98.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$6.3K
$-602.71
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$4.0KMay 16, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$2.0KMay 16, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$8.2KMay 16, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$73.50May 16, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Cassidy finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?$1.7KMay 16, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Cassidy finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?$6.0KMay 16, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.9KMay 16, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$19.6KMay 16, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$1.2KMay 16, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$217.27May 16, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$0.09May 16, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$0.15May 16, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$0.14May 16, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$4.82May 16, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$91.78May 16, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$391.20May 16, 06:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$271.02May 15, 17:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 03:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".