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0x166a49699aba5d7a9ce3142450062deedf83d7ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
130
Open notional
$15.7K
Total PnL
$2.1K
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
69%
51 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 130- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2800 shares @ 66.8¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$47.16
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2000 shares @ 79.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$162.22
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
950 shares @ 92.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$935.75
$58.75
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
1004 shares @ 60.1¢·now 63.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$637.38
$34.35
- NO
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
645 shares @ 90.8¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$618.08
$32.26
- NO
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
633 shares @ 82.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$597.94
$73.99
- NO
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
662 shares @ 84.1¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$575.93
$19.26
- NO
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
640 shares @ 80.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$496.31
$-16.20
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
407 shares @ 95.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$400.96
$11.35
- NO
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
398 shares @ 78.1¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$323.96
$13.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$29.60May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.07May 18, 06:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$9.26May 17, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$68.29May 17, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$96.00May 17, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$8.89May 17, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$4.88May 17, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$0.18May 17, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$1.40May 17, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$0.81May 17, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$11.84May 17, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$20.92May 17, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$5.82May 17, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$98.00May 17, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$132.21May 17, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$12.08May 17, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$0.69May 17, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$5.26May 17, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?$32.18May 17, 09:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $23.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 10:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 51 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".