Vigilant-Sovereignty
0x168aa28e12056a3fa2f721ff36bbe40a7245f171
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$430.30
Total PnL
$-224.25
Realised
$-10.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
90 shares @ 81.5¢·now 81.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$73.35
$0.22
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
108 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$71.40
$-1.08
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
37 shares @ 95.1¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$36.41
$1.39
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
37 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$33.69
$-0.18
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
52 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.03
$-0.26
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
34 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$30.98
$-0.94
- NO
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35 shares @ 88.7¢·now 88.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.87
$-0.02
- NO
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
33 shares @ 92.5¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.61
$-0.25
- NO
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
37 shares @ 84.1¢·now 83.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.55
$-0.27
- NO
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
34 shares @ 91.3¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.50
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$27.17May 18, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$34.27May 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$32.04May 18, 03:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$31.05May 17, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$72.48May 17, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$29.29May 17, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$73.54May 17, 17:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$33.73May 16, 03:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$26.93May 15, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$34.01May 15, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$36.90May 15, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$41.65May 15, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$30.45May 15, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.63May 15, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$32.27May 13, 23:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $35.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 12:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".