0x169b8e2a1d5a3e9d840a08074a090afa82a730c9
0x169b8e2a1d5a3e9d840a08074a090afa82a730c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-71.32
Realised
$4.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
810 shares @ 92.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$757.35
$8.65
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
700 shares @ 90.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$649.95
$16.25
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
990 shares @ 63.9¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$579.13
$-53.24
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$265.50
$-1.50
- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
180 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$162.90
$-4.50
- NO
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
90 shares @ 89.9¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$86.89
$6.00
- NO
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$79.47
$4.28
- NO
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
55 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$54.59
$6.19
- NO
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
60 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-57.59
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$57.71May 15, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$189.81May 15, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$18.00May 15, 14:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$30.00May 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$38.93May 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$12.24May 13, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$30.50May 13, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$42.70May 13, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$26.85May 13, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$125.63May 13, 03:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$82.80May 12, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$50.40May 12, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$125.49May 12, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$36.80May 12, 04:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $48.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 19:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".