Showy-Methane
0x17915038b8f5305d1a437e8201a8395efc63f8ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$99.45
Total PnL
$-20.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 20?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 20, 2026$99.39
$88.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?
110 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.05
$-20.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 20?
7 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on May 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 12?
152 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 12?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 12?
120 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-19.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 12?
100 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 16?
100 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 16?
100 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?$5.62May 19, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?$5.70May 19, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 20?$0.82May 19, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 20?$0.31May 19, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 20?$0.42May 19, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 20?$0.18May 19, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 20?$0.55May 19, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 20?$0.41May 19, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 20?$0.25May 19, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 20?$0.19May 19, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 20?$0.66May 19, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 20?$1.24May 19, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 20?$0.69May 19, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 20?$0.78May 19, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 20?$0.18May 19, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 20?$1.24May 19, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?$9.58May 19, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 20?$1.67May 19, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 20?$0.55May 19, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 20?$0.55May 19, 20:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 14:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 23:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".