Expensive-Retrospectivity
0x1815b8fbd80f171e7f1f6bc3a255cb93c1c1e217
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
197
Open notional
$0.09
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$3.64
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 197- YES
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?
186 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.09
$-12.91
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
10313 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-19.57
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
700 shares @ 55.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-387.13
- SUNS
Suns vs. Thunder
534 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- NO
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
521 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-106.00
- CAVALIERS
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
417 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
355 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-169.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
294 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
292 shares @ 53.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-156.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$10.45May 19, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1.1KMay 19, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$227.27May 19, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$411.45May 19, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$161.54May 19, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$19.68May 19, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$155.52May 19, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$155.14May 19, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.14May 19, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.01May 19, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$10.22May 19, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$9.18May 19, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?$4.83May 18, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?$4.86May 18, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?$6.17May 18, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$10.87May 18, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$5.19May 18, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$9.46May 18, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$10.34May 18, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$33.97May 18, 18:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $41.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 15:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 13:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".