Upset-Warden
0x182addd8096bbd0fc0f609a6e3887f67fe82f847
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$12.69
Total PnL
$-506.86
Realised
$-154.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 23?
288 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 23, 2026$5.91
$-0.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 23?
40 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$3.40
$0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 23?
75 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$3.38
$-1.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 21?
19 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.01
$-6.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 16?
469 shares @ 64.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-301.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 15?
292 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.56
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or higher on May 6?
85 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-24.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 15?
64 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 2?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or higher on May 8?
36 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.41
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 23?$0.41May 22, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 23?$0.09May 21, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 23?$4.82May 21, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 23?$2.93May 21, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 23?$4.71May 21, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 23?$1.94May 21, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 23?$0.15May 21, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 21?$2.72May 21, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on May 21?$0.27May 21, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 21?$442.36May 21, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 21?$69.12May 21, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 21?$4.45May 21, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 21?$8.09May 21, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 21?$24.72May 21, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 21?$250.93May 21, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 21?$44.22May 21, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 21?$120.52May 21, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 21?$54.85May 21, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 21?$4.33May 21, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 21?$4.96May 21, 05:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $51.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 14:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 00:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".