Upbeat-Advance
0x18510d997eba5b8a0102bad7307e70e32bc4ae47
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$779.10
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$774.24
Win rate
79%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
1095 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$93.10
$-3.38
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
1532 shares @ 4.6¢·now 5.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$91.18
$21.07
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$70.00
$20.00
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
1100 shares @ 3.8¢·now 5.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$64.35
$22.35
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 12.6¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$60.00
$-41.00
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
1000 shares @ 5.9¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.50
$-7.70
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 25, 2026?
500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$47.50
$7.50
- YES
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
1800 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$45.72
$-7.98
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?
1000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 3.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$32.50
$23.50
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
869 shares @ 12.2¢·now 3.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.82
$-77.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?$0.00May 18, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?$0.00May 18, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 16?$0.00May 18, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$0.00May 18, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?$0.00May 18, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?$0.00May 18, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$7.60May 18, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$0.46May 18, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$2.24May 18, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$8.20May 18, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$3.31May 17, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.09May 17, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.11May 17, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.09May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$2.52May 17, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$1.68May 17, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?$6.23May 17, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$16.00May 17, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?$0.71May 17, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?$9.29May 17, 16:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 01:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".