Tedious-Necessity
0x1851cc2a59239f189b52c51df00d3e1e4b537016
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$-148.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2128 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$2.0K
$-10.64
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?
213 shares @ 79.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$213.34
$43.34
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
227 shares @ 88.1¢·now 86.7¢·exp May 22, 2026$196.82
$-3.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 20?
121 shares @ 82.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$120.74
$20.74
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 20?
11 shares @ 91.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 20, 2026$10.87
$0.87
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.25
$0.25
- NO
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
5 shares @ 91.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
3085 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-894.55
- BAYER 04 LEVERKUSEN
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
1648 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-543.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)$1.5KMay 20, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$6.9KMay 20, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?$171.73May 19, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 20?$10.04May 19, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 20?$100.88May 19, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0KMay 19, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$201.19May 19, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0KMay 19, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$6.0KMay 19, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)$1.0KMay 19, 15:03 UTC
- REWARD$2.65Apr 22, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)$555.14Apr 18, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$555.14Apr 18, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?$58.54Apr 17, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?$74.00Apr 17, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?$370.00Apr 17, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?$87.00Apr 17, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?$435.00Apr 17, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-17?$1.0KApr 17, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$499.98Apr 17, 13:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $373.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 12:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 03:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".