Sophisticated-Deck
0x18ae1e7e9272aeeb18ce150b589fef4c5b836bec
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$9.13
Total PnL
$-92.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.4¢·now 94.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.49
$-0.06
- YES
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?
877 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.63
$-2.24
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on December 28?
7475 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-7.47
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on December 26?
4263 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 20?
2320 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.46
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 19?
2292 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-13.75
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 March 9-15?
2183 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.37
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on December 26?
2130 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-4.26
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?
2089 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.04May 20, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.12May 20, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.12May 20, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.13May 20, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.06May 20, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.06May 20, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.13May 20, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.12May 20, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.13May 20, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.13May 20, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.13May 20, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.12May 20, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.12May 20, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.10May 20, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.13May 20, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.12May 20, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.13May 20, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.03May 20, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.04May 20, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.03May 20, 08:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 08:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 08:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".