Normal-Motivation
0x18cda925145a03cd1650ad1036f6b152ece1d8d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$13.3K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$83.24
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
2590 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$56.95
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3049 shares @ 91.5¢·now 65.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.0K
$-805.24
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1600 shares @ 93.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$-16.80
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
1324 shares @ 66.6¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.3K
$422.50
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
1105 shares @ 82.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$955.65
$46.55
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
1000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$916.00
$16.00
- NO
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
1000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$880.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1000 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$775.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat?
600 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$570.90
$12.90
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
1200 shares @ 74.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$510.00
$-378.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$151.00May 18, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$30.04May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$49.50May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$37.13May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$32.83May 18, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$195.89May 18, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$23.03May 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$126.43May 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$32.29May 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$2.02May 18, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$31.31May 18, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$15.62May 18, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$3.26May 18, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$8.67May 18, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$3.45May 18, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$60.00May 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$58.36May 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$1.04May 18, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$2.61May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$2.58May 18, 05:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $34.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".