Favorable-Lad
0x1a0ffee63b78caa693ec3bb54799adab33f3b5a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$119.61
Total PnL
$-102.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
31 shares @ 97.7¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$29.83
$-0.17
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$19.91
$0.03
- NO
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
11 shares @ 91.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
10 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?
110 shares @ 93.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-102.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by June 30?$30.00May 17, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$30.02May 17, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?$10.00May 17, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?$20.00May 17, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$50.00May 17, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$19.64Apr 2, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$20.00Apr 2, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$19.88Apr 1, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$29.43Apr 1, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?$19.96Apr 1, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$19.98Apr 1, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$4.9KApr 1, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$4.9KApr 1, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?$52.57Apr 1, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$5.0KApr 1, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$19.33Apr 1, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$4.9KMar 30, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$80.76Mar 30, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$59.89Mar 30, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?$5.0KMar 30, 13:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 18:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".