Misguided-Pinafore
0x1a84626969a58307260c6293e1d9ea898a51ce75
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$44.92
Total PnL
$-2.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Cameron Kasky be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
15 shares @ 83.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$14.96
$2.50
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
10 shares @ 44.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.90
$1.50
- YES
Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$5.00
$2.10
- NO
Will Pamela Stevenson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.96
$1.31
- NO
Will Antonio Villaraigosa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$4.92
$0.46
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
10 shares @ 73.5¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.34
$-3.17
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.92
$0.82
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
5 shares @ 6.0¢·now 24.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.22
$0.92
- YES
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.39
$-4.81
- YES
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
35 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.26
$-0.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$0.00Mar 16, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWarriors vs. Clippers$0.00Mar 16, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cassandra Kulukundis (One Battle After Another) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,400 January 5-11?$5.00Mar 16, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cassandra Kulukundis (One Battle After Another) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jan 11, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCallum Turner announced as next James Bond?$2.60Jan 11, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCallum Turner announced as next James Bond?$2.60Jan 11, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill CJ McCollum be traded this season?$5.81Jan 10, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Villaraigosa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$4.45Jan 10, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$4.40Jan 10, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.30Jan 7, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.01Jan 7, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$3.70Jan 6, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$3.65Jan 6, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?$2.90Jan 6, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Kasky be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$4.17Jan 6, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$0.16Jan 6, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Thompson win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?$1.75Jan 6, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Kasky be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$4.14Jan 6, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Kasky be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$4.14Jan 6, 15:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $2.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 03:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 04:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".