Insistent-Expectation
0x1aba4dd4afd35a7c75d3fe4736e8c36ba2fed0d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$352.76
Total PnL
$-306.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
550 shares @ 20.5¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$123.75
$10.75
- YES
US x China Military clash before 2027?
1265 shares @ 8.7¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$69.57
$-40.97
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
625 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.56
$-3.44
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
1700 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$27.20
$-23.80
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1666 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.82
$-24.16
- YES
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.80
$-11.20
- YES
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
230 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.85
$-8.05
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
282 shares @ 8.7¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.88
$-15.65
- YES
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
300 shares @ 3.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.90
$-6.00
- YES
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
18 shares @ 5.7¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.42
$-0.62
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $13.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 11:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".