Medical-Complication
0x1b48d726590445bca4a249b25e134db394e8487a
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$116.36
Total PnL
$-287.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
106 shares @ 41.6¢·now 58.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$62.29
$18.29
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
99 shares @ 39.3¢·now 37.1¢·exp May 22, 2026$36.88
$-2.12
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
100 shares @ 17.9¢·now 4.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$4.77
$-13.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 23?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$2.47
$0.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 23?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$2.36
$0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 23?
11 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$2.15
$0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 23?
10 shares @ 17.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.20
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 23?
12 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.80
$-0.18
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
97 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.68
$-2.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 23?
12 shares @ 8.3¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.54May 21, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.05May 21, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.48May 21, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.68May 21, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$3.15May 21, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$18.74May 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$40.18May 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$45.29May 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 23?$0.58May 21, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 69°F or below on May 23?$0.70May 21, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 69°F or below on May 23?$0.38May 21, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 23?$1.70May 21, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on May 23?$1.14May 21, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 23?$1.07May 21, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 23?$1.07May 21, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 88°F or higher on May 23?$0.70May 21, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 23?$0.45May 21, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 23?$2.17May 21, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 88°F or higher on May 23?$0.38May 21, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 23?$1.05May 21, 18:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $17.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 18:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".