Fortunate-Fly
0x1bc64666ac7ff862ad03bcbe93754ade1f62c936
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$31.8K
Total PnL
$-27.4K
Realised
$491.82
Win rate
50%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
6632 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.5K
$374.71
- NO
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3716 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.7K
$16.15
- YES
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
3511 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$3.4K
$36.85
- YES
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
4366 shares @ 66.9¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$3.3K
$397.33
- YES
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
2929 shares @ 94.1¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$2.8K
$27.48
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9810 shares @ 16.2¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.8K
$201.29
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9898 shares @ 15.9¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.6K
$71.02
- NO
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
1757 shares @ 71.8¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.3K
$83.04
- NO
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
1541 shares @ 97.3¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.2K
$-274.78
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9904 shares @ 11.1¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.1K
$28.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.7KMay 18, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$3.8KMay 18, 01:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.04May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.87May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$3.4KMay 17, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$1.8KMay 17, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBucheon FC 1995 vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5$99.90May 17, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLHamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Henri Squire$202.83May 17, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Henri Squire$555.97May 17, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Henri Squire$98.29May 17, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Henri Squire$7.74May 17, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Henri Squire$68.88May 17, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-05-17?$251.43May 17, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?$175.99May 17, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?$158.40May 17, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?$4.40May 17, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?$66.00May 17, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?$35.20May 17, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?$99.33May 17, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?$28.67May 17, 12:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $396.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 01:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".