Runny-Horse
0x1be65a5d1c48ad39aaa8ea24a4f69d34c12519c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$55.74
Total PnL
$-181.80
Realised
$28.79
Win rate
100%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.75
$-2.25
- YES
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.63
$-0.38
- YES
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's US Open?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$2.25
$-0.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cameron Norrie win the 2026 Men's French Open?$3.00May 14, 23:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$3.00May 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.50May 13, 07:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Poland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$3.00May 12, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$3.14May 12, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$2.11May 12, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?$1.80May 12, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.66May 12, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.21May 12, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.23May 12, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.23May 12, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.29May 12, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.17May 12, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.51May 12, 02:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 14:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".