0x1bf68055711cfe64f63609352b7b4f346fff2ecd
0x1bf68055711cfe64f63609352b7b4f346fff2ecd
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$940.24
Total PnL
$-280.80
Realised
$-4.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
748 shares @ 53.2¢·now 35.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$261.93
$-136.07
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1379 shares @ 8.7¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$124.82
$5.32
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
703 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$117.13
$-2.37
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
627 shares @ 16.9¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$114.40
$8.68
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
888 shares @ 11.9¢·now 12.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$109.64
$4.16
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1877 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$96.68
$-2.81
- YES
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
448 shares @ 22.2¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$53.75
$-45.75
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
1109 shares @ 9.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.36
$-65.13
- YES
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
213 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.86
$-15.99
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1100 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$8.25
$-6.67
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$75.00May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$29.85May 16, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$105.56May 16, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$108.42May 16, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$10.41May 16, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$101.96May 16, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?$102.60May 16, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$326.61May 16, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$7.55May 16, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$26.50May 16, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$35.19May 16, 10:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$75.63May 15, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hezbollah disarm by December 31?$76.35May 15, 17:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $59.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 17:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".