Defiant-Motion
0x1c9c948c7a396ef0ce3f8243b9f658de9ec6908a
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$89.66
Total PnL
$-369.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
2270 shares @ 4.4¢·now 3.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$88.52
$-11.47
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
15000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
5218 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-123.99
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
625 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
197 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.04May 19, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$50.00May 19, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$50.00May 19, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$122.73May 18, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 16, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$0.00May 16, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$0.00May 16, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$50.00May 15, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$150.00May 15, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$25.00May 15, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$119.92May 10, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$28.00May 7, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$100.00May 7, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$5.00Apr 26, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?$4.00Apr 26, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$24.00Apr 12, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$100.00Apr 12, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$100.00Apr 12, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$3.6KApr 7, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$320.72Apr 7, 22:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $209.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 00:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 01:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".