Lone-Thorn
0x1cb63fd92efcaaf359ffdf301c40674b2ed793f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-95.93
Realised
$-0.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
616 shares @ 95.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$581.72
$-8.28
- NO
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?
414 shares @ 96.3¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$405.11
$6.01
- NO
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?
362 shares @ 81.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$338.11
$45.20
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
291 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$290.15
$8.15
- YES
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
191 shares @ 99.5¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 17, 2026$188.94
$-1.06
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
193 shares @ 95.8¢·now 97.7¢·exp May 18, 2026$188.45
$3.67
- NO
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?
154 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$149.47
$-0.53
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
156 shares @ 96.1¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$148.52
$-1.48
- YES
Will Trump say "China" this week?
151 shares @ 98.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$141.24
$-7.76
- NO
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?
140 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-99.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" this week?$149.08May 18, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$90.00May 18, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$84.89May 18, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Epstein" on Truth Social this week?$53.65May 18, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Brazil" on Truth Social this week?$58.34May 18, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?$212.60May 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$399.69May 16, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?$150.00May 16, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$150.00May 16, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$99.89May 16, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?$46.87May 16, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" during Bret Baier interview?$527.27May 16, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nuclear" during Bret Baier interview?$319.15May 16, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$295.14May 15, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$500.00May 15, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?$190.04May 15, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?$150.47May 15, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during Bret Baier interview?$400.64May 15, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during Bret Baier interview?$300.72May 15, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?$417.78May 15, 11:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $153.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 12:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".