Intentional-Tadpole
0x1cc15b3c8b9a8efa44eade1349e6d7c6b08ba345
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$38.75
Realised
$22.32
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on May 23?
1270 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.3K
$5.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C or higher on May 23?
917 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 23, 2026$903.50
$6.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 69°F or below on May 23?
533 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 23, 2026$528.20
$0.53
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 22?
506 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$505.93
$1.84
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 22?
240 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$239.35
$0.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or higher on May 23?
185 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 23, 2026$184.57
$-0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 22?
106 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$105.72
$0.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or below on May 23?
105 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 23, 2026$104.74
$0.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 22?
100 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$99.88
$0.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 22?
100 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 22, 2026$99.40
$0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 22?$99.40May 22, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 22?$49.75May 22, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on May 22?$68.13May 22, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on May 22?$4.98May 22, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 22?$4.96May 22, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on May 22?$5.00May 22, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on May 22?$126.34May 22, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C or higher on May 23?$16.64May 22, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on May 22?$5.98May 22, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on May 22?$158.53May 22, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on May 22?$27.01May 22, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 22?$8.99May 22, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on May 22?$9.07May 22, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on May 22?$29.89May 22, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on May 22?$5.98May 22, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on May 22?$5.97May 22, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 96°F or higher on May 22?$5.67May 22, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on May 22?$5.68May 22, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on May 22?$5.68May 22, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 55°F or below on May 23?$47.22May 22, 00:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $68.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 22:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 01:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".