Slippery-Doll
0x1d7c3422cc4ce0106995917268d5309d5f9a51b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$5.6K
Total PnL
$-84.57
Realised
$232.57
Win rate
76%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
801 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$787.28
$50.09
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
350 shares @ 94.4¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$331.27
$0.73
- NO
Trump out as President by May 31?
303 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$301.99
$3.59
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
305 shares @ 95.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$297.14
$6.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
310 shares @ 90.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$280.45
$0.45
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
250 shares @ 91.6¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$231.75
$2.65
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
300 shares @ 77.1¢·now 74.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$224.00
$-7.35
- YES
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
416 shares @ 29.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$211.92
$91.42
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
230 shares @ 87.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$201.25
$-0.24
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
201 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$199.29
$0.40
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.12May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REWARD$0.24May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.76May 18, 10:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.74May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 18, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.60May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?$5.00May 17, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$224.01May 17, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$61.28May 17, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$51.45May 17, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?$549.99May 17, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?$549.99May 17, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?$68.00May 17, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$6.54May 17, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$0.00May 17, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 17, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$0.00May 17, 10:18 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$13.12May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 17, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $87.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 06:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".