Imperfect-Compliance

• NO

  Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

  27 shares @ 41.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $24.14

  $13.02

• NO

  Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?

  25 shares @ 35.5¢·now 88.6¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $22.06

  $13.22

• NO

  Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

  15 shares @ 62.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $13.72

  $4.22

• NO

  Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?

  15 shares @ 57.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $11.70

  $3.15

• NO

  Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

  21 shares @ 49.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $11.38

  $1.33

• NO

  Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?

  19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $10.93

  $6.11

• NO

  Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?

  12 shares @ 41.4¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $10.01

  $5.01

• NO

  Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?

  24 shares @ 24.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $9.96

  $4.13

• NO

  Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?

  12 shares @ 53.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $9.93

  $3.74

• NO

  US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

  9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $9.20

  $4.29

• REDEEMWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$18.52May 18, 05:31 UTC
• REDEEMWill the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$14.40May 13, 14:07 UTC
• REDEEMWill Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$15.11May 13, 14:07 UTC
• REDEEMTrump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?$11.69May 10, 13:12 UTC
• REDEEMWill Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$12.45May 10, 13:12 UTC
• REDEEMWill Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?$21.18May 10, 13:12 UTC
• REDEEMWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$9.09May 1, 10:01 UTC
• REDEEMTrump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?$9.80May 1, 10:01 UTC
• REDEEMWill Kelp DAO socialize the losses?$13.25May 1, 10:01 UTC
• REDEEMTrump re-sues WSJ by April 27?$14.32Apr 29, 13:46 UTC
• REDEEMWill "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$18.23Apr 29, 13:46 UTC
• TRADEBUYMajor US official out by May 31?$5.00Apr 28, 06:04 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democrats win at least 800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$5.00Apr 27, 03:31 UTC
• TRADEBUYLabour leadership election scheduled by June 30?$5.00Apr 26, 14:01 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Young Kim advance from the CA-40 primary election?$5.00Apr 26, 09:13 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Angela Gonzales-Torres advance from the CA-34 primary election?$5.00Apr 26, 09:13 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$5.00Apr 25, 22:57 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by May 31?$5.00Apr 25, 21:55 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$5.00Apr 25, 20:43 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?$5.00Apr 25, 17:08 UTC

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