Insecure-Photo
0x1e26576d9d13d33dce3739150571d3b5f74e2020
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$5.6K
Total PnL
$2.9K
Realised
$279.88
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
696 shares @ 23.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$686.58
$521.46
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
525 shares @ 31.1¢·now 74.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$388.50
$225.00
- NO
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
390 shares @ 34.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$385.57
$250.23
- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
372 shares @ 33.4¢·now 93.9¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$349.21
$225.04
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
333 shares @ 26.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$286.38
$199.80
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
600 shares @ 26.9¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$279.00
$117.75
- NO
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?
331 shares @ 37.8¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$264.71
$139.71
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$245.13
$145.13
- YES
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
400 shares @ 26.9¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$238.00
$130.50
- NO
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
250 shares @ 37.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$223.75
$131.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?$9.79May 18, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?$5.02May 17, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$286.00May 16, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 16, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$113.97May 16, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 16, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$23.09May 15, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?$0.00May 15, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?$1.35May 15, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?$2.25May 15, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?$0.90May 15, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?$1.35May 15, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?$0.90May 15, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?$0.00May 15, 00:51 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.73May 15, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?$100.00May 14, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?$84.00May 14, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMUK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?$0.00May 14, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$65.11May 14, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$100.00May 14, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $47.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 04:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".