Probable-Site
0x1e524ff2123d380a690dbdf2245de2a9428e91d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$146.65
Realised
$544.14
Win rate
60%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- NO
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
274 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$259.02
$9.60
- NO
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
432 shares @ 55.5¢·now 58.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$250.84
$10.97
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
297 shares @ 84.3¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$224.12
$-26.03
- DOWN
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?
926 shares @ 20.7¢·now 22.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$203.70
$11.75
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?
299 shares @ 20.4¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$175.04
$113.96
- UNDER
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5
312 shares @ 49.4¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$154.32
$0.45
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?
189 shares @ 83.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$147.20
$-9.44
- YES
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?
1156 shares @ 19.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$121.38
$-102.76
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
240 shares @ 32.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$111.37
$34.73
- NO
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?
171 shares @ 45.6¢·now 53.8¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$92.13
$13.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYInternationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Talia Gibson$8.98May 18, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Talia Gibson$13.46May 18, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Talia Gibson$13.23May 18, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLInternationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Talia Gibson$38.18May 18, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLInternationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Talia Gibson$98.20May 18, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?$40.00May 18, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Talia Gibson$141.00May 18, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Canada vs. Denmark$2.06May 18, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Canada vs. Denmark$0.03May 18, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$0.40May 18, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Canada vs. Denmark$1.02May 18, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Canada vs. Denmark$1.65May 18, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Canada vs. Denmark$0.30May 18, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?$56.32May 18, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Canada vs. Denmark$0.17May 18, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?$56.32May 18, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?$56.31May 18, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Canada vs. Denmark$0.17May 18, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Canada vs. Denmark$0.41May 18, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Canada vs. Denmark$0.04May 18, 07:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $28.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 02:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".