Knowing-Siege
0x1e7185cf6146233b4ce8f2041755e0b54b1f01bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$7.5K
Total PnL
$338.61
Realised
$324.76
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 18?
3912 shares @ 95.7¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.8K
$28.51
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1556 shares @ 87.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.4K
$74.84
- NO
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?
891 shares @ 95.5¢·now 95.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$854.18
$3.94
- NO
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
4334 shares @ 11.5¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$390.08
$-110.13
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
6084 shares @ 7.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$334.64
$-143.35
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?
367 shares @ 61.2¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$308.30
$83.86
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
600 shares @ 22.3¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$123.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?
486 shares @ 7.8¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$80.17
$42.16
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
50 shares @ 57.6¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.74
$0.95
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
579 shares @ 1.6¢·now 4.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.04
$14.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$29.05May 18, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 38 and 40 million views on day 2?$1.00May 18, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$8.40May 18, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$4.90May 18, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$0.10May 18, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 46 million views on day 2?$2.89May 18, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$1.38May 18, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 38 and 40 million views on day 2?$0.01May 18, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$114.42May 18, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?$479.96May 18, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.54May 18, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.19May 18, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.32May 18, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.69May 18, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$6.30May 18, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$6.30May 18, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.52May 18, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$7.14May 18, 08:38 UTC
- MERGEWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$53.00May 18, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$32.33May 18, 08:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $17.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 07:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".