Our-Factor
0x1ef6a5fa2ef05e98d1bd53e85fe6e563adc641af
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
85
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$51.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
526 shares @ 38.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$234.21
$34.21
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
323 shares @ 61.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$221.46
$21.46
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
500 shares @ 25.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$217.50
$92.50
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
500 shares @ 40.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$207.50
$7.50
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
501 shares @ 41.9¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$195.46
$-14.54
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
488 shares @ 43.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.91
$-17.09
- YES
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
401 shares @ 37.4¢·now 41.5¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$166.56
$16.56
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
513 shares @ 39.0¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$161.91
$-38.09
- YES
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
385 shares @ 39.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$128.82
$-21.18
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
150 shares @ 62.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$89.25
$-3.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?$55.00May 8, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?$55.00May 8, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$111.17May 8, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$62.29May 7, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$64.89May 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$63.10May 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$63.30May 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$272.71Apr 30, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$11.07Apr 30, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: 9INE vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs$11.59Apr 30, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$55.37Apr 30, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLKBO: Kia Tigers vs. NC Dinos$12.83Apr 30, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLKBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eagles$0.76Apr 30, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$0.29Apr 30, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLKBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wiz$5.72Apr 30, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLDetroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves$9.67Apr 30, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLKBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants$9.75Apr 30, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLOstrava: Zdenek Kolar vs Jonas Forejtek$15.60Apr 30, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves$10.14Apr 30, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYOstrava: Zdenek Kolar vs Jonas Forejtek$10.11Apr 30, 10:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $75.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 12:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 16:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".