Lonely-Mother
0x2056c23ae380e7275d6658af8402684b30df2dbe
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$7.24
Total PnL
$-26.26
Realised
$5.64
Win rate
39%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 245m?
5 shares @ 51.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$4.82
$2.35
- YES
Will Rudy Moise be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?
4 shares @ 14.0¢·now 37.9¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.69
$1.06
- YES
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
4 shares @ 9.9¢·now 9.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.37
$-0.03
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 10.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.19
$-0.31
- YES
Will James Ingram be the Republican nominee for MO-06?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.17
$-0.95
- YES
Will Jed Cochran be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
3 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Pakistan military action against Kabul by April 30?
1975 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.04
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $120 end of April?
573 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- YES
Octra FDV above $30M one day after launch?
394 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?
194 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.63
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?$1.68May 16, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?$0.25May 16, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$4.19May 16, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$6.15May 16, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$2.16May 15, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$3.99May 15, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?$0.63May 14, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$4.00May 12, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$2.51May 12, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?$1.72May 12, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?$1.90May 11, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026?$0.84May 11, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 11, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Varela be the Democratic nominee for NJ-07?$0.05May 8, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Varela be the Democratic nominee for NJ-07?$2.46May 8, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?$2.38May 7, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 245m?$3.95May 7, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 245m?$7.49May 7, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 245m?$9.09May 7, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 245m?$3.93May 7, 19:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 07:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 20:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".