Probable-Discipline
0x2086c709d8f0567a972b07386dded458ad158ef7
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$328.73
Realised
$77.58
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?
3388 shares @ 70.2¢·now 81.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.7K
$366.95
- YES
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
511 shares @ 87.7¢·now 87.6¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$447.61
$-0.36
- NO
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?
323 shares @ 82.3¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$303.16
$37.83
- YES
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?
446 shares @ 86.4¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$231.93
$-153.27
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?$1.00May 18, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?$1.00May 18, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?$1.00May 18, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?$1.00May 18, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?$1.00May 18, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?$87.00May 18, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?$56.05May 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?$17.88May 17, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?$35.76May 17, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?$72.41May 17, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?$315.55May 17, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?$56.21May 17, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?$36.40May 16, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?$31.58May 12, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?$4.13May 12, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?$32.17May 12, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?$13.58May 12, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?$144.93May 12, 06:03 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.21May 12, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?$13.03May 11, 23:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $53.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".