Spotted-Logo
0x2099ecad0083eadb09a4857adf8992b7ceb83024
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.76
Total PnL
$-385.71
Realised
$98.21
Win rate
53%
155 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?
120 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$2.46
$-0.06
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
86 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.30
$-0.33
- YES
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-06?
330 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.08
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $380 on February 23?
260 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.30
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on February 21?
259 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.11
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?
180 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.69
- YES
Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 22,000 by March 20?
180 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.34
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.60 February 16-22?
180 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 6?
180 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on April 5?
180 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.87
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.38May 18, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.05May 18, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.42May 18, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.00May 18, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$4.59May 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$0.29May 18, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$1.91May 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$1.64May 18, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.00May 18, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.33May 18, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$0.38May 18, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$0.36May 18, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$0.59May 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$0.06May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$0.37May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$0.43May 18, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$0.38May 18, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.1% in May?$0.26May 18, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.1% in May?$1.00May 18, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$0.08May 18, 06:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 155 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".