Made-Up-Dogwood
0x20d99d31acbae26a0e50990bd68e95fe9e862bc0
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$11.21
Total PnL
$-2.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
10 shares @ 93.6¢·now 89.3¢·exp May 23, 2026$8.93
$-0.43
- NO
Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?
68 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.4¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.28
$0.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
58 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?$1.26May 22, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?$1.02May 22, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$100.00May 21, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$9.36May 21, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$10.00May 20, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$9.44May 18, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$0.00May 14, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$86.56May 13, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$7.50May 13, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$1.41May 13, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$2.31May 13, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$2.07May 13, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$0.58May 13, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$1.79May 13, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$89.18May 12, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$89.09May 12, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$107.01May 12, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$107.01May 12, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$6.80May 12, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$90.40May 12, 05:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $37.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 21:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 01:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".