Direct-Yarn

• YES

  Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

  450 shares @ 11.1¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $33.56

  $-16.44

• YES

  China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

  278 shares @ 18.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $23.61

  $-26.39

• YES

  Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?

  67 shares @ 30.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $22.67

  $2.67

• YES

  Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

  329 shares @ 6.1¢·now 5.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028

  $19.59

  $-0.41

• YES

  Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

  84 shares @ 23.8¢·now 22.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028

  $19.31

  $-0.69

• YES

  Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

  54 shares @ 37.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $18.11

  $-1.89

• YES

  Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

  71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $12.14

  $2.14

• YES

  Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

  358 shares @ 2.8¢·now 3.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028

  $11.63

  $1.63

• YES

  Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

  91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.4¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $9.50

  $-0.50

• YES

  Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

  33 shares @ 45.1¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026

  $9.49

  $-5.51

• YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:15 UTC
• YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:11 UTC
• TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$5.00May 23, 23:10 UTC
• TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 27?$20.00May 23, 13:33 UTC
• TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$20.00May 23, 13:33 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 23, 13:31 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?$20.50May 23, 13:30 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Trump attend his son's wedding?$2.08May 23, 10:19 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?$2.08May 23, 10:18 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?$2.08May 23, 10:18 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?$2.08May 23, 10:18 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Richard Grenell as the next Director of National Intelligence?$5.16May 23, 10:15 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Devin Nunes as the next Director of National Intelligence?$5.17May 23, 10:15 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$5.00May 23, 10:14 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$1.00May 23, 10:12 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$10.00May 23, 10:11 UTC
• YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:12 UTC
• REDEEMWill Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?$15.05May 22, 22:52 UTC
• REDEEMWill Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$192.31May 22, 09:39 UTC
• YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:12 UTC

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