Mad-Incident
0x21a1a4c3ba9583e2796c9320da8dab525de02f95
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$903.30
Realised
$688.39
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
1535 shares @ 16.7¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$895.39
- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
852 shares @ 25.3¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$459.93
$244.25
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
140 shares @ 77.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$131.60
$23.80
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1747 shares @ 1.8¢·now 6.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$116.18
$85.53
- NO
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
284 shares @ 39.7¢·now 38.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$109.58
$-2.92
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4701 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$100.60
$18.60
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
400 shares @ 25.2¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$97.40
$-3.40
- NO
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?
131 shares @ 51.8¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$96.69
$29.03
- YES
Databricks IPO before 2027?
600 shares @ 27.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$81.00
$-80.99
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2000 shares @ 9.2¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$67.00
$-117.98
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 6, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.05May 5, 05:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Apr 30, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $80.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".