Wrong-Heater
0x21a4a9d0910a3cf38cef1d4a1bae76cd468e0b9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$-803.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
1980 shares @ 75.8¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$24.61
- NO
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?
312 shares @ 80.1¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$259.16
$9.16
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
303 shares @ 80.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$253.09
$9.98
- NO
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?
222 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$218.67
$18.67
- NO
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
287 shares @ 76.2¢·now 74.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$213.74
$-4.70
- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
256 shares @ 78.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$206.30
$6.41
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
196 shares @ 84.7¢·now 84.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$164.63
$-1.37
- NO
Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
189 shares @ 84.2¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$152.48
$-7.10
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
154 shares @ 64.7¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$121.27
$21.27
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
124 shares @ 80.4¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$118.30
$18.30
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?$210.53May 16, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.49May 16, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYAston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5$70.40May 15, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?$50.00May 15, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-14?$50.63May 15, 02:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMReal Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score$58.82May 14, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMValencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5$55.56May 14, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score$30.44May 14, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5$50.15May 14, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$94.05May 14, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-14?$40.25May 14, 00:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-13?$20.30May 13, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5$60.98May 13, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5$50.27May 13, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-13?$80.72May 13, 20:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $58.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 02:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".