Political-Revelation
0x21a896a18023cf1551491d03e721e2db163b1aec
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$6.4K
Total PnL
$-195.92
Realised
$-69.67
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
700 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$696.85
$16.65
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
631 shares @ 79.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$533.36
$31.41
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
483 shares @ 91.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$480.44
$36.23
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
354 shares @ 95.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$350.72
$13.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$280.50
$7.50
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
301 shares @ 90.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$263.37
$-9.53
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
240 shares @ 84.1¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$232.44
$30.64
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
250 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$209.28
$-3.15
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
200 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$196.30
$3.10
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$191.70
$7.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?$50.00May 16, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?$8.96May 15, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?$19.99May 15, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?$50.00May 15, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$23.02May 14, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?$48.51May 14, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?$8.36May 14, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?$18.84May 14, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$100.00May 13, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$24.30May 13, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$19.33May 13, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.18May 13, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.24May 12, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$80.10May 12, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$8.90May 12, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.95May 12, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$41.05May 12, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?$42.50May 11, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?$40.94May 11, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$47.28May 11, 03:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $42.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 18:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 09:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".