Careless-Will-Failure
0x2226bc029475fa98dd77f2a46226fd31f8825c76
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.38
Total PnL
$-5.47
Realised
$0.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 21?
50 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.3¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.13
$-0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on May 20?
18 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.11
$-0.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 20?
34 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.10
$-1.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?
25 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.05
$-0.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 20?
1014 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 20?
645 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 21?$1.16May 20, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on May 20?$0.72May 20, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 21?$0.04May 20, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 20?$0.54May 20, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 20?$0.01May 20, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 20?$0.01May 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 20?$0.01May 20, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 20?$0.01May 20, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 20?$0.05May 20, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on May 20?$0.93May 20, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 20?$1.17May 20, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 20?$0.94May 20, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 20?$0.24May 20, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 20?$1.05May 20, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$0.37May 19, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$0.53May 19, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$0.00May 19, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$1.07May 19, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$0.12May 19, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 20?$0.38May 19, 23:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $0.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 17:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".