Cumbersome-Elongation
0x2427b7339af720e5cb70dcd198c4d30ef69552a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$62.03
Total PnL
$-788.33
Realised
$-10.87
Win rate
28%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- LUKAS NEUMAYER
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Lukas Neumayer
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$6.85
$-0.05
- NO
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 28.5¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.90
$0.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on May 21?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$5.17
$0.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 96.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$4.80
$1.80
- BOSTON RED SOX
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.65
$-1.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?
6 shares @ 76.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$4.20
$-0.23
- JUAN CARLOS PRADO
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Daniil Glinka vs Juan Carlos Prado
6 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$3.60
$-0.03
- NO
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$3.58
$-0.02
- THUNDER
Spurs vs. Thunder
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$3.38
$-0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 21?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$3.38
$0.33
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 20?$5.00May 20, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 22?$4.45May 20, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLGeneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tien$3.12May 20, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros, Qualification ATP: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lloyd Harris$3.42May 20, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travaglia$1.00May 20, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travaglia$1.00May 20, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLGeneva Open: Cameron Norrie vs Mariano Navone$2.56May 20, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry$2.84May 20, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Takasaki: Kyoka Okamura vs Valentina Ryser$3.90May 20, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBengaluru 3: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Yusuke Takahashi$2.59May 20, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Lukas Neumayer$6.96May 20, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travaglia$2.29May 20, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?$2.90May 20, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?$3.63May 20, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Jakub Mensik$1.94May 20, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros, Qualification ATP: Daniil Glinka vs Juan Carlos Prado$3.67May 20, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Cameron Norrie vs Mariano Navone$2.79May 20, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros, Qualification ATP: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lloyd Harris$3.53May 20, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tien$3.23May 20, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$0.56May 20, 03:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 00:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".