Fatal-Doubt
0x242df083db4f7b37a380003a24de482eadd6603a
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$87.7K
Total PnL
$12.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
89000 shares @ 76.6¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$87.7K
$19.5K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
6734 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
3101 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
1765 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- BEARS
Bears vs. Ravens
1429 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- AVALANCHE
Avalanche vs. Devils
1042 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
1005 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- TITANS
Titans vs. Colts
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Heat
862 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- STEELERS
Packers vs. Steelers
732 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$7.4KMar 18, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$23.1KMar 10, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$37.7KMar 6, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$315.74Jan 18, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$649.35Jan 17, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$120.77Jan 17, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$60.00Jan 17, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$16.80Jan 17, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$2.42Jan 17, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$82.21Jan 17, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$17.79Jan 17, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$500.00Jan 17, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$283.27Jan 17, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEM49ers vs. Giants$427.46Nov 5, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMBears vs. Bengals$500.00Nov 5, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMBroncos vs. Texans$531.91Nov 5, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMPanthers vs. Packers$1.7KNov 5, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$77.4KNov 5, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Trail Blazers$0.00Nov 1, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Grizzlies$0.00Nov 1, 13:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 19:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 01:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".