Elegant-Staff
0x2458489f779c836fc773135d81b08ead95ccf8e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$11.3K
Total PnL
$4.8K
Realised
$-3.97
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
10000 shares @ 46.6¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.7K
$5.1K
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
2500 shares @ 20.7¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$787.50
$270.40
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
708 shares @ 92.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$647.58
$-4.88
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 4.1¢·now 6.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$66.48
$25.51
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
8000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$60.00
$-91.65
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
150 shares @ 15.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.50
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
400 shares @ 15.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$10.60
$-49.40
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
199 shares @ 6.6¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.48
$-6.68
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
90 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.85
$-6.92
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
176 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.14
$-12.94
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 6, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$62.78May 5, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$10.94May 5, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$96.00May 5, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$0.28May 5, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$46.18May 5, 04:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 5, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$22.52May 4, 04:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $103.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".