Posh-Mess
0x2467ec9890abd4ce8f814e423c8e532b21fb2650
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$257.31
Total PnL
$-299.07
Realised
$0.56
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on May 24?
179 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 24, 2026$175.11
$0.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on May 24?
50 shares @ 90.8¢·now 93.2¢·exp May 24, 2026$46.60
$1.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 24?
25 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$24.19
$1.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 24?
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$7.30
$-1.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 24?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$4.11
$-0.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 9?
230 shares @ 96.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-221.91
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 9?
66 shares @ 81.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-53.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on May 1?
30 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 10?
26 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 9?
14 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on May 24?$18.00May 23, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on May 24?$12.86May 23, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on May 24?$5.24May 23, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 24?$2.91May 23, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on May 24?$2.92May 23, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 23?$500.01May 23, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 23?$52.81May 23, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 24?$5.49May 23, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on May 24?$16.16May 23, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 24?$4.59May 23, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 24?$22.67May 23, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on May 24?$4.85May 23, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on May 24?$19.40May 23, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on May 24?$17.16May 23, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on May 24?$2.25May 23, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on May 24?$14.75May 23, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on May 24?$97.29May 23, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on May 24?$9.28May 23, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 23?$68.77May 23, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 23?$3.19May 23, 09:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $22.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 07:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 20:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".