0x253da8157571bae06d6cf750eeb1b26830a43307
0x253da8157571bae06d6cf750eeb1b26830a43307
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$39.9K
Total PnL
$-7.9K
Realised
$-3.3K
Win rate
74%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
5881 shares @ 86.6¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.7K
$599.68
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
5000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.7K
$-5.47
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
56849 shares @ 0.8¢·now 4.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.7K
$2.3K
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
38584 shares @ 50.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.4K
$-16.9K
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
27422 shares @ 0.4¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.3K
$2.2K
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
53970 shares @ 0.4¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.3K
$2.1K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3000 shares @ 39.7¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$894.70
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
2000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.8K
$10.00
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
50834 shares @ 0.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$887.71
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
58349 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.0K
$791.39
Recent activity
- YIELD$2.47May 18, 00:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.94May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$2.50May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$204.00May 16, 08:24 UTC
- YIELD$2.49May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$867.16May 15, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$82.84May 15, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$978.00May 15, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$306.98May 15, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$5.00May 15, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$145.95May 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$8.00May 15, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$8.00May 15, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$7.00May 15, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1.5KMay 15, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$5.00May 15, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$9.00May 15, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1.9KMay 15, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$5.00May 15, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$8.00May 15, 06:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $325.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".