Pleasing-Chaos
0x253f8383e94275cd7db8e6785e100a2ec299e642
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$714.03
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-308.60
Win rate
40%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- PORTSMOUTH FC
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)
578 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$578.00
$98.26
- NO
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
82 shares @ 19.2¢·now 56.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$46.04
$30.30
- SOUTHERN SUPER STARS
Legends Cricket League: Mumbai Spartans vs Southern Super Stars
89 shares @ 71.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$44.50
$-18.69
- NO
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
43 shares @ 95.4¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$41.95
$0.92
- NO
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.84
$0.68
- NO
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.00
$0.14
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
1 shares @ 65.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.61
$-0.04
- YES
Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2027?
1 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.08
$0.00
- YES
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.09
- UNDER
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5
640 shares @ 68.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-438.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLegends Cricket League: Mumbai Spartans vs Southern Super Stars$63.19Mar 31, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?$20.79Mar 31, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?$21.06Mar 31, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?$22.41Mar 31, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?$66.64Mar 31, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$66.93Mar 31, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$66.93Mar 31, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$66.96Mar 31, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$66.96Mar 31, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?$65.73Mar 31, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)$479.74Mar 31, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?$65.73Mar 31, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?$78.56Mar 31, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?$262.08Mar 31, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?$205.74Mar 31, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?$519.80Mar 31, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$471.27Mar 31, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$48.30Mar 31, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?$46.40Mar 29, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$571.52Mar 29, 15:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $121.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 00:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 14:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".