Tight-Microwave
0x2619eab30fae262baf0a327010af8a56727d50a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$1.58
Total PnL
$-108.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.88
$-0.13
- NO
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by less than 30%?
418 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.21
$-0.79
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 December 29-January 4?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$1.04May 17, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?$0.56May 14, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?$0.10May 14, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?$0.38May 14, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?$0.08May 14, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?$0.96May 14, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.04May 13, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$1.05May 12, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 11?$1.07May 11, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$1.03May 10, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$1.03May 8, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$1.03May 7, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by less than 30%?$1.04May 6, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 1, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.03Apr 29, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump dance today?$1.04Apr 28, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.00Apr 27, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?$8.37Apr 26, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?$5.00Apr 25, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.00Apr 24, 14:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $44.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 17:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".