Short-Insurance
0x261cd61ce457d51085d1eabe618207dcdb8a8b76
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$53.32
Total PnL
$-291.34
Realised
$1.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 21?
45 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 21, 2026$45.19
$4.33
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on May 17?
4 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$4.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 17?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.34
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on May 17?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.76
$0.02
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on May 17?
300 shares @ 99.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-297.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 21?$40.85May 20, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$2.65May 19, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$2.17May 19, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$2.16May 19, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$2.08May 19, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$2.71May 19, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$2.03May 19, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$1.14May 19, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$1.00May 19, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$2.50May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$2.34May 18, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on May 17?$0.00May 18, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C or below on May 19?$90.03May 18, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 19?$145.69May 18, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 19?$2.65May 18, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on May 18?$10.00May 18, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or higher on May 20?$51.45May 18, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on May 18?$5.00May 18, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on May 18?$1.38May 18, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on May 18?$29.97May 18, 01:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $39.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 23:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 03:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".