Bogus-Accident
0x269674dc110c5926790e126d5f45becc4b53daa2
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$460.76
Total PnL
$-61.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
429 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 17, 2026$423.68
$2.58
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.86
$-1.14
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
33 shares @ 26.3¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.11
$-0.65
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.12
$1.12
- YES
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
34 shares @ 44.4¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.20
$-12.80
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will VOX (VOX) win 16-18 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
54 shares @ 92.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.30
$-49.70
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VOX (VOX) win 16-18 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$50.15May 17, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?$3.72May 17, 19:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?$10.14May 11, 05:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$152.98May 10, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?$5.20May 10, 06:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?$0.10May 9, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.02May 9, 09:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $37.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 08:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".