Burdensome-Disarmament
0x269ced0ede348b4b3f8fd8470b19f65508f79017
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
156
Open notional
$59.9K
Total PnL
$-373.4K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 156- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
23755 shares @ 66.9¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$18.2K
$2.3K
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
60000 shares @ 96.2¢·now 29.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.9K
$-39.8K
- YES
Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
9997 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$10.0K
$2.4K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 29.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.1K
$2.2K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.6K
$-5.0K
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
4495 shares @ 68.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$3.1K
$22.47
- NO
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1988 shares @ 94.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.0K
$115.29
- CELTICS
76ers vs. Celtics
99664 shares @ 88.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-88.5K
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Nuggets
24821 shares @ 75.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-18.8K
- UNDER
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5
12491 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.5K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$25.82May 18, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$21.25May 18, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$42.50May 18, 02:54 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.63May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$14.88May 17, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$212.50May 17, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$181.04May 17, 01:48 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.21May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$6.38May 16, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$8.46May 16, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$22.44May 16, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$3.72May 16, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$3.41May 16, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$3.41May 16, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$3.42May 16, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$212.50May 16, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$3.43May 16, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$978.69May 16, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$42.50May 16, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$3.40May 16, 10:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $874.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 01:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".