Alarmed-Appliance
0x26d4df8b5ad61de60082e90209a0901f944d0a37
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
171
Open notional
$44.19
Total PnL
$-364.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 171- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on May 20?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$17.02
$7.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 21?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$15.86
$5.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 68°F or higher on May 20?
19 shares @ 50.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$11.30
$1.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 29?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 21?
49 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 23?
37 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.54
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on April 15?
32 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 23?
26 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C or higher on March 23?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 66°F or higher on April 24?
22 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 21?$10.24May 19, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on May 20?$10.24May 18, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 68°F or higher on May 20?$9.74May 18, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 19?$8.04May 18, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 17?$9.76May 17, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 17?$8.71May 17, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on May 17?$8.69May 17, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 17?$16.67May 17, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 17?$8.44May 17, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 18?$8.04May 17, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 17?$8.03May 17, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 17?$10.20May 17, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 17?$8.04May 17, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 18?$4.54May 17, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 16?$8.43May 17, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 17?$3.24May 17, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 17?$7.99May 17, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or higher on May 17?$8.03May 17, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on May 16?$8.44May 17, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on May 16?$9.52May 17, 08:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $7.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 03:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 04:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".