Frightening-Nibble
0x26db2fba94385cadd23a960ab036a1aacffa7abc
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$286.98
Total PnL
$-16.9K
Realised
$367.78
Win rate
91%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- USA
World Championships: Latvia vs. USA
346 shares @ 81.5¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$286.98
$5.16
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
14752 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-348.97
- NO
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
7333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
4262 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-446.13
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
2289 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-968.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7AM ET
2172 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-570.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8AM ET
2000 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-839.98
- NO
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?
1713 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-880.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 5AM ET
1705 shares @ 38.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-650.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?
1222 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Latvia vs. USA$283.38May 22, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Championships: Germany vs. Hungary$283.50May 22, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Germany vs. Hungary$255.57May 22, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWorld Championships: Denmark vs. Slovakia$255.30May 21, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Denmark vs. Slovakia$187.79May 21, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWorld Championships: Italy vs. Norway$187.98May 19, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Italy vs. Norway$149.60May 19, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMBengaluru 3: Dominik Palan vs Kokoro Isomura$149.62May 19, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBengaluru 3: Dominik Palan vs Kokoro Isomura$118.94May 18, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Championships: Norway vs. Slovenia$119.02May 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Norway vs. Slovenia$106.28May 17, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Germany vs. Latvia$101.46May 17, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWorld Championships: Denmark vs. Sweden$207.39May 17, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Denmark vs. Sweden$191.46May 17, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$191.84Apr 23, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$38.88Apr 22, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?$5.00Apr 22, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $650M one day after launch?$1.00Apr 22, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$18.97Apr 22, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$25.90Apr 22, 17:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $94.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 14:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 20:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".