Alarmed-Reward
0x2724e11acddb165172b0256f0993fc22d84d6d08
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$82.36
Total PnL
$-112.41
Realised
$29.85
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
2729 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$28.66
$-3.07
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
1862 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$14.89
$-19.10
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
1163 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$11.63
$-4.37
- YES
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
262 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.46
$-0.54
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
95 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
54 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?
213 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in May?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
104 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.09
$-0.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.08May 18, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$8.82May 18, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$7.28May 18, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.20May 18, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.20May 18, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$16.87May 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in May?$2.08May 17, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in May?$1.04May 17, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in May?$1.04May 17, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$5.04May 17, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$2.06May 17, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.04May 17, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$3.27May 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?$1.05May 17, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 17, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.04May 17, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?$1.04May 17, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$1.04May 17, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$8.97May 17, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$2.10May 17, 11:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 20:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".