Afraid-Child
0x273dbcb143b7759c3ce2b6bac8a511ffa49fd0ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$6.6K
Total PnL
$-10.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
16617 shares @ 31.4¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.9K
$-2.3K
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
8084 shares @ 63.7¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.9K
$-2.3K
- YES
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
6704 shares @ 20.1¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$569.82
$-780.32
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
6792 shares @ 22.1¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$305.65
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
18436 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
15729 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
4015 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$250.16Mar 11, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$750.00Mar 11, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$400.00Mar 11, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$300.00Mar 11, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$100.00Mar 11, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$200.00Mar 11, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1000.00Mar 11, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$500.00Mar 11, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$400.00Mar 11, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$100.00Mar 11, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$500.00Mar 11, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1000.00Mar 11, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$825.00Mar 11, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$6.3KMar 11, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$300.32Mar 11, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$100.00Mar 11, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$600.00Mar 11, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$800.00Mar 11, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$200.00Mar 11, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1000.00Mar 11, 00:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $558.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 17:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 21:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".